Eurasia Group predicts top ten risks for 2023

Synopsis

In the early days of 2023, the ongoing war in Ukraine continues to dominate global concerns, with Russian President Vladimir Putin viewed as a central figure in the crisis. The Eurasia Group highlights the potential for Russia to emerge as a Rogue State, caught in a precarious position of being too weak to win the conflict yet too strong to be ignored. Meanwhile, China, under the leadership of Xi Jinping, is undergoing significant transformations that raise questions about its stability and governance. The report emphasizes that the risks identified this year are among the most dangerous encountered in the past 25 years, driven by actors with limited constraints and poor information. As the world grapples with these challenges, issues such as water scarcity also emerge as critical factors affecting millions globally.